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KMID : 0387319910010010136
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Korean Journal of Health Policy and Administration
1991 Volume.1 No. 1 p.136 ~ p.152
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The Supply and Demand Projection of Physicians in the Medical Service Area
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박현애
최정수/류시원
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Abstract
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The study was conducted to project supply and demand of the physicians from year 1991 to year 2010 based on the analysis of supply and demand of the physicians up to year 1989. Results of the study will provide information for the physicians manpower planning of the 7th 5-year Economic Social Development Planning(1992-1996) and contribute to the overall health manpower planning for the 21th century. It is projected that physicians will be oversupplied from the very near future based on the current productivity or underestimated based on the optimal productivity. Thus, it is desirable not to change size of training and education during the 7th 5-year planning period and re-examine the status of the physician manpower at the end of the 7th 5-year period taking into consideration medical services utilization pattern, patients´ satisfaction, and physicians´ productivity.
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KEYWORD
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